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Qual 642015 Tesla Division
Red79
325044.3
161019.7
571227.9
Blue111
500624.1
206258.8
336058.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6514605010020025079111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#25
44.30.2
34.1→34.3
Auto1.6
Teleop42.7
End0.0
blue by 14.5
2062
#29
58.81.3
59.7→58.3
Auto0.8
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
5712
#68
27.90.2
27.5→27.7
Auto0.8
Teleop27.2
End0.0
blue by 30.6
3360
#9
58.61.3
57.2→55.8
Auto8.0
Teleop50.6
End0.0
Third
1610
#74
19.70.2
18.7→19.0
Auto2.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 4.4
5006
#62
24.11.3
21.1→19.8
Auto0.6
Teleop23.4
End0.0