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Qual 652015 Tesla Division
Red136
573025.0
150253.6
151532.5
Blue113
400354.9
61226.7
29241.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79121050100150200250136113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#34
53.62.4
47.1→49.5
Auto0.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
4003
#28
54.90.3
53.4→53.1
Auto10.8
Teleop44.1
End0.0
Second
1515
#51
32.52.4
24.7→27.1
Auto1.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0
blue by 9.3
292
#41
41.80.3
41.5→41.2
Auto1.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Third
5730
#39
25.02.4
16.7→19.0
Auto0.7
Teleop24.2
End0.0
blue by 1.8
612
#42
26.70.3
23.5→23.2
Auto0.8
Teleop25.9
End0.0