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Red147
558214.1
293044.0
152349.7
Blue72
299217.1
14143.4
131118.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions968020406012014016018014772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1523
#18
49.72.5
42.344.8
Auto0.9
Teleop48.8
End0.0
red by 6.2
141
#50
43.40.7
41.841.1
Auto0.8
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Second
2930
#35
44.02.5
45.347.8
Auto0.7
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 25.7
1311
#67
18.30.7
23.823.1
Auto0.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
5582
#75
14.12.5
9.211.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 3.0
2992
#71
17.10.7
20.119.4
Auto0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0