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Qual 772015 Tesla Division
Red121
22661.2
17136.2
542212.8
Blue98
425647.5
558214.1
258754.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110505015020025030035012198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#32
61.21.2
58.3→59.5
Auto0.1
Teleop61.2
End0.0
red by 6.8
2587
#20
54.50.1
49.7→49.6
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Second
171
#24
36.21.2
26.2→27.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.4
End0.0
blue by 11.3
4256
#23
47.50.1
45.4→45.3
Auto1.6
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Third
5422
#66
12.81.2
11.9→13.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5582
#75
14.10.1
11.7→11.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0