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Qual 782015 Tesla Division
Red98
61226.7
394129.1
325044.3
Blue122
457123.7
384727.7
296049.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8475406010012014098122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#25
44.30.6
36.2→36.8
Auto1.6
Teleop42.7
End0.0
blue by 4.8
2960
#36
49.12.1
42.6→44.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.4
End0.0
Second
3941
#40
29.10.6
25.9→26.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop29.8
End0.0
red by 1.4
3847
#31
27.72.1
20.8→22.9
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Third
612
#42
26.70.6
23.2→23.9
Auto0.8
Teleop25.9
End0.0
red by 3.0
4571
#49
23.72.1
15.9→18.1
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0