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Red147
573025.0
382476.0
131118.3
Blue197
261316.9
313273.8
180683.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99152050200250300147197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#11
76.01.8
68.970.7
Auto-1.0
Teleop77.0
End0.0
blue by 7.7
83.82.4
74.276.6
Auto2.1
Teleop81.7
End0.0
Second
5730
#39
25.01.8
19.020.8
Auto0.7
Teleop24.2
End0.0
blue by 48.8
73.82.4
60.262.6
Auto8.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
Third
1311
#67
18.31.8
23.124.9
Auto0.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 1.4
2613
#47
16.92.4
14.416.8
Auto1.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0