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Red188
62485.0
365646.3
400354.9
Blue108
248633.8
507235.3
14143.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19583050100150250300188108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#4
85.00.2
82.682.8
Auto12.0
Teleop73.0
End0.0
red by 41.6
141
#50
43.40.2
41.141.3
Auto0.8
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Second
4003
#28
54.90.2
53.153.3
Auto10.8
Teleop44.1
End0.0
red by 19.6
5072
#58
35.30.2
36.236.4
Auto0.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Third
3656
#17
46.30.2
48.648.8
Auto-1.2
Teleop47.5
End0.0
red by 12.4
2486
#46
33.80.2
27.027.2
Auto0.7
Teleop33.1
End0.0