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Qual 862015 Tesla Division
Red216
295971.6
34060.7
5857.1
Blue143
287533.8
531436.3
206258.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17111150150200250216143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#7
71.62.7
61.3→64.1
Auto0.4
Teleop71.2
End0.0
red by 12.8
2062
#29
58.80.9
58.3→59.2
Auto0.8
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
340
#10
60.72.7
51.9→54.6
Auto0.5
Teleop60.3
End0.0
red by 24.4
5314
#55
36.30.9
33.4→34.3
Auto1.2
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Third
58
#19
57.12.7
54.5→57.2
Auto0.0
Teleop57.1
End0.0
red by 23.3
2875
#43
33.80.9
33.1→34.0
Auto0.4
Teleop33.4
End0.0