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Qual 872015 Tesla Division
Red76
150253.6
239921.4
500624.1
Blue116
405027.2
152349.7
24425.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8886708010011076116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#34
53.60.8
49.5→48.7
Auto0.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
red by 4.0
1523
#18
49.71.3
44.8→46.1
Auto0.9
Teleop48.8
End0.0
Second
5006
#62
24.10.8
20.5→19.7
Auto0.6
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 3.1
4050
#30
27.21.3
20.9→22.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
2399
#65
21.40.8
21.1→20.4
Auto0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 3.8
244
#44
25.31.3
24.1→25.4
Auto1.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0