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Qual 932015 Tesla Division
Red186
541538.1
313273.8
457123.7
Blue146
500624.1
219132.3
34060.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149550150200186146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#2
73.83.5
62.6→66.1
Auto8.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
red by 13.0
340
#10
60.72.2
54.6→56.8
Auto0.5
Teleop60.3
End0.0
Second
5415
#57
38.13.5
34.4→38.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 5.8
2191
#54
32.32.2
27.3→29.5
Auto0.1
Teleop32.2
End0.0
Third
4571
#49
23.73.5
18.1→21.6
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5006
#62
24.12.2
19.7→21.9
Auto0.6
Teleop23.4
End0.0