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Qual 942015 Tesla Division
Red117
131118.3
336058.6
318416.4
Blue196
150253.6
258754.5
70646.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86142050200250300117196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#9
58.60.9
55.0→56.0
Auto8.0
Teleop50.6
End0.0
red by 4.1
2587
#20
54.52.9
49.6→52.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Second
1311
#67
18.30.9
24.9→25.8
Auto0.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 35.3
1502
#34
53.62.9
48.7→51.6
Auto0.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
Third
3184
#70
16.40.9
18.6→19.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 29.9
706
#22
46.32.9
39.7→42.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0