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Qual 952015 Tesla Division
Red104
5857.1
122530.4
507235.3
Blue168
567821.3
252630.9
347669.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12583050100150200104168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#19
57.10.9
57.2→56.3
Auto0.0
Teleop57.1
End0.0
blue by 12.4
3476
#15
69.54.1
55.2→59.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop70.2
End0.0
Second
5072
#58
35.30.9
36.4→35.4
Auto0.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0
red by 4.4
2526
#72
30.94.1
24.2→28.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Third
1225
#63
30.40.9
29.2→28.2
Auto0.4
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 9.1
5678
#59
21.34.1
13.3→17.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0