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Qual 962015 Tesla Division
Red83
239921.4
14143.4
24425.3
Blue154
125540.1
61226.7
241545.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829705015020025030083154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#50
43.40.2
41.3→41.1
Auto0.8
Teleop42.7
End0.0
blue by 1.7
2415
#21
45.23.1
42.9→46.0
Auto0.4
Teleop44.8
End0.0
Second
244
#44
25.30.2
25.4→25.2
Auto1.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 14.8
1255
#38
40.13.1
31.7→34.8
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
Third
2399
#65
21.40.2
20.4→20.2
Auto0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 5.3
612
#42
26.73.1
23.9→26.9
Auto0.8
Teleop25.9
End0.0