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Qual 982015 Tesla Division
Red164
152349.7
31957.1
151532.5
Blue238
102548.0
325044.3
180683.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110162050200250300164238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#12
57.12.1
49.8→51.9
Auto11.5
Teleop45.5
End0.0
blue by 26.7
1806
#8
83.83.9
76.6→80.5
Auto2.1
Teleop81.7
End0.0
Second
1523
#18
49.72.1
46.1→48.2
Auto0.9
Teleop48.8
End0.0
red by 1.7
1025
#45
48.03.9
45.8→49.7
Auto1.8
Teleop46.2
End0.0
Third
1515
#51
32.52.1
26.3→28.4
Auto1.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0
blue by 11.8
3250
#25
44.33.9
36.8→40.8
Auto1.6
Teleop42.7
End0.0