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Qual 992015 Tesla Division
Red130
248633.8
405027.2
17136.2
Blue108
164736.5
183638.2
29241.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65123050100150200130108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171
#24
36.22.7
27.4→30.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.4
End0.0
blue by 5.6
292
#41
41.80.5
42.2→41.7
Auto1.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
2486
#46
33.82.7
27.2→29.9
Auto0.7
Teleop33.1
End0.0
blue by 4.4
1836
#37
38.20.5
38.5→38.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
Third
4050
#30
27.22.7
22.2→24.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 9.3
1647
#52
36.50.5
37.3→36.8
Auto1.7
Teleop34.7
End0.0