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Semifinal pool 12015 Tesla Division
Red215
347669.5
125540.1
313273.8
Blue216
336058.6
296049.1
212283.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1651910100300400500215216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#2
73.80.7
70.3→71.0
Auto8.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
blue by 9.4
2122
#6
83.20.4
84.6→85.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop83.3
End0.0
Second
3476
#15
69.50.7
66.1→66.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop70.2
End0.0
red by 10.9
3360
#9
58.60.4
60.0→60.4
Auto8.0
Teleop50.6
End0.0
Third
1255
#38
40.10.7
39.2→39.8
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
blue by 9.0
2960
#36
49.10.4
49.2→49.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.4
End0.0