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Red152
261444.9
382468.7
349221.9
Blue114
533836.4
395948.7
320126.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13510250150200152114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.70.3
68.468.7
Auto0.0
Teleop68.6
End0.0
red by 19.9
48.70.0
48.748.7
Auto0.3
Teleop48.4
End0.0
Second
44.90.3
44.644.9
Auto0.6
Teleop44.3
End0.0
red by 8.5
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto0.3
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Third
3492
#22
21.90.4
21.621.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 4.3
3201
#21
26.30.0
26.226.3
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0