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Final 12015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red151
261444.9
382468.7
349221.9
Blue132
533836.4
395948.7
320126.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410150150200250151132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#1
68.70.3
68.1→68.4
Auto0.0
Teleop68.6
End0.0
red by 19.9
3959
#5
48.70.4
48.3→48.7
Auto0.3
Teleop48.4
End0.0
Second
2614
#4
44.90.3
44.3→44.6
Auto0.6
Teleop44.3
End0.0
red by 8.5
5338
#7
36.40.4
36.0→36.4
Auto0.3
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Third
3492
#22
21.90.4
21.2→21.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 4.3
3201
#21
26.30.4
25.9→26.2
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0