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Red154
261444.9
382468.7
349221.9
Blue65
457616.4
446223.2
54716.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14037010020025030015465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.70.4
66.867.2
Auto0.0
Teleop68.6
End0.0
red by 45.4
4462
#11
23.20.2
23.023.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Second
44.90.4
43.043.4
Auto0.6
Teleop44.3
End0.0
red by 28.5
4576
#28
16.40.2
16.216.4
Auto0.8
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
3492
#22
21.90.5
19.620.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 5.8
547
#18
16.10.2
15.916.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0