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Red123
533836.4
395948.7
320126.3
Blue125
239319.0
146636.7
201022.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10667050150200123125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.3
46.146.4
Auto0.3
Teleop48.4
End0.0
red by 12.1
36.70.8
35.836.7
Auto0.6
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
36.40.3
33.834.1
Auto0.3
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 14.4
2010
#20
22.00.8
21.222.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
3201
#21
26.30.3
23.623.9
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 7.3
2393
#14
19.00.8
18.119.0
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0