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Red142
533836.4
395948.7
320126.3
Blue150
261444.9
382468.7
349221.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99133050150200250300142150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.7
47.748.3
Auto0.3
Teleop48.4
End0.0
blue by 19.9
68.70.3
67.868.1
Auto0.0
Teleop68.6
End0.0
Second
36.40.7
35.336.0
Auto0.3
Teleop36.1
End0.0
blue by 8.5
44.90.3
44.044.3
Auto0.6
Teleop44.3
End0.0
Third
3201
#21
26.30.7
25.225.9
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 4.3
3492
#22
21.90.4
20.921.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0