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Red95
426528.2
278346.7
100225.1
Blue112
549231.6
319627.3
27923.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947520406012014016018095112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.0
44.944.9
Auto1.8
Teleop44.9
End0.0
red by 15.0
5492
#12
31.60.5
31.131.6
Auto0.9
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
4265
#10
28.20.0
26.426.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.5
End0.0
red by 0.9
27.30.5
26.827.3
Auto0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
1002
#19
25.10.0
23.323.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 1.8
279
#33
23.30.5
22.723.3
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0