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Semifinal pool 42015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red134
45655.4
314040.8
496513.1
Blue144
261444.9
382468.7
349221.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100132050150200250300134144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#3
55.40.5
55.3→55.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.6
End0.0
blue by 13.3
3824
#1
68.70.2
67.6→67.8
Auto0.0
Teleop68.6
End0.0
Second
3140
#2
40.80.5
40.7→41.2
Auto0.2
Teleop40.6
End0.0
blue by 4.1
2614
#4
44.90.2
43.8→44.0
Auto0.6
Teleop44.3
End0.0
Third
4965
#49
13.10.5
13.1→13.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 8.8
3492
#22
21.90.2
20.6→20.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0