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Red36
131117.1
384311.7
550815.1
Blue6
39663.8
378312.0
463017.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3526020406080100366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#44
17.10.0
17.517.5
Auto0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4630
#24
17.31.9
9.67.7
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
5508
#25
15.10.1
7.47.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 3.1
3783
#34
12.01.3
10.69.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
3843
#45
11.70.1
10.410.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 7.9
3966
#51
3.81.9
8.56.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.8
End0.0