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Red16
33199.8
430611.1
426416.0
Blue94
395948.7
557125.8
32599.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255701001502001694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4264
#27
16.01.3
8.06.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 32.7
48.72.0
37.839.8
Auto0.3
Teleop48.4
End0.0
Second
4306
#38
11.11.3
13.111.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 14.7
5571
#16
25.83.3
7.911.2
Auto0.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
3319
#41
9.81.3
10.08.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
red by 0.2
3259
#48
9.53.3
8.812.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0