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Qual 272015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red26
457616.4
27923.3
542316.4
Blue116
261444.9
446223.2
54716.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4173010015020025026116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
#33
23.31.1
22.8→21.7
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 21.6
2614
#4
44.92.3
36.8→39.1
Auto0.6
Teleop44.3
End0.0
Second
5423
#23
16.41.8
8.5→6.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 6.9
4462
#11
23.23.8
21.7→25.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
4576
#28
16.41.1
16.5→15.4
Auto0.8
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 0.2
547
#18
16.13.8
11.9→15.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0