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Qual 282015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red70
463017.3
549231.6
426416.0
Blue56
319627.3
39663.8
146636.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375601001502002507056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#12
31.61.4
26.5→27.9
Auto0.9
Teleop30.7
End0.0
blue by 5.0
1466
#8
36.70.1
30.3→30.4
Auto0.6
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
4630
#24
17.32.4
5.2→7.6
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 10.0
3196
#9
27.30.1
20.4→20.5
Auto0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
4264
#27
16.02.4
9.7→12.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 12.2
3966
#51
3.80.1
4.1→4.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.8
End0.0