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Qual 32015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red78
261444.9
384422.7
2818.5
Blue46
474019.6
496513.1
439613.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6117040801001201401607846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#4
44.91.9
29.9→31.7
Auto0.6
Teleop44.3
End0.0
red by 25.3
4740
#15
19.61.8
8.9→10.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
3844
#17
22.72.3
14.3→16.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 9.4
4396
#30
13.31.8
7.3→9.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
281
#46
8.51.9
12.0→13.8
Auto0.1
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 4.6
4965
#49
13.11.4
8.6→10.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0