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Red28
39663.8
445214.8
201022.0
Blue96
38566.5
382468.7
54716.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35630501001502002896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#20
22.00.8
19.919.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 46.6
68.72.3
43.445.7
Auto0.0
Teleop68.6
End0.0
Second
4452
#29
14.80.8
11.110.3
Auto0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
547
#18
16.12.9
9.011.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
3966
#51
3.81.0
9.58.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.8
End0.0
blue by 2.7
3856
#47
6.52.9
8.811.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0