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Qual 52015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red34
542316.4
32599.5
146636.7
Blue68
450412.6
569114.1
27923.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453902060803468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#8
36.70.6
26.9→26.3
Auto0.6
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 13.4
279
#33
23.31.8
21.5→23.3
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Second
5423
#23
16.48.8
16.4→7.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 2.2
5691
#31
14.13.4
14.1→10.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
3259
#48
9.50.9
9.7→8.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 3.1
4504
#36
12.62.3
10.9→13.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0