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Qual 312015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red13
36758.2
474019.6
450412.6
Blue9
439613.3
398424.0
402515.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31470100150200250139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4740
#15
19.61.8
11.0→9.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3984
#13
24.02.6
22.6→20.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Second
4504
#36
12.61.8
13.1→11.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 2.9
4025
#26
15.52.6
11.8→9.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
3675
#39
8.21.8
10.7→8.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
4396
#30
13.32.6
11.8→9.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0