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Red114
533836.4
557125.8
314040.8
Blue32
378312.0
239319.0
50029.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions652205010015011432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.82.7
21.223.8
Auto0.2
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 21.8
2393
#14
19.00.7
12.112.9
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
36.42.7
27.830.4
Auto0.3
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 24.4
3783
#34
12.00.7
10.511.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
5571
#16
25.84.4
12.016.4
Auto0.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 16.8
5002
#50
9.10.7
6.77.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0