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Red51
496513.1
382113.3
398424.0
Blue49
557125.8
50029.1
569114.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363302060805149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3984
#13
24.01.3
20.021.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 1.8
5571
#16
25.81.1
16.417.5
Auto0.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
3821
#37
13.31.3
7.68.8
Auto0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5691
#31
14.11.1
12.213.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
4965
#49
13.10.8
8.28.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 4.0
5002
#50
9.10.6
7.58.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0