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Red82
38566.5
146636.7
430611.1
Blue50
446223.2
402515.5
426528.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465401001502002503003508250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.71.6
30.432.0
Auto0.6
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 8.5
4265
#10
28.20.0
20.420.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.5
End0.0
Second
4306
#38
11.12.7
8.411.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 12.1
4462
#11
23.20.1
25.525.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
3856
#47
6.52.7
10.413.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 9.1
4025
#26
15.50.1
9.29.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0