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Qual 412015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red69
44214.4
549231.6
474019.6
Blue63
378312.0
384311.7
27923.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141102030506070806963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#12
31.61.4
27.9→29.3
Auto0.9
Teleop30.7
End0.0
red by 8.4
279
#33
23.30.9
21.7→22.7
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Second
4740
#15
19.62.3
9.2→11.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 7.6
3783
#34
12.00.9
11.2→12.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
442
#40
14.42.3
3.8→6.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 2.7
3843
#45
11.71.6
11.2→12.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0