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Red33
550815.1
349221.9
50029.1
Blue24
445214.8
33199.8
32599.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323101020405060703324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3492
#22
21.90.1
13.013.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 7.1
4452
#29
14.80.5
14.914.5
Auto0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Second
5508
#25
15.10.1
10.310.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 5.3
3319
#41
9.80.8
9.38.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
5002
#50
9.10.1
8.18.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3259
#48
9.50.8
9.18.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0