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Red59
45248.0
542316.4
533836.4
Blue115
463017.3
382468.7
430611.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4681010015020025059115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.3
29.429.7
Auto0.3
Teleop36.1
End0.0
blue by 32.3
68.71.8
59.961.7
Auto0.0
Teleop68.6
End0.0
Second
5423
#23
16.40.5
15.115.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 0.9
4630
#24
17.33.1
7.310.4
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
4524
#42
8.00.5
8.79.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 3.1
4306
#38
11.13.1
11.114.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0