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Red155
382468.7
320126.3
278346.7
Blue114
349221.9
395948.7
100225.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140600100200250155114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.71.1
61.762.8
Auto0.0
Teleop68.6
End0.0
red by 19.9
48.71.9
40.642.5
Auto0.3
Teleop48.4
End0.0
Second
46.71.1
44.045.1
Auto1.8
Teleop44.9
End0.0
red by 21.6
1002
#19
25.11.9
19.021.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
3201
#21
26.31.1
26.727.8
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 4.3
3492
#22
21.93.2
15.518.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0