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Qual 592015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red19
450412.6
50029.1
445214.8
Blue44
384422.7
27923.3
57446.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275402040801001201401601944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4452
#29
14.80.7
14.2→13.5
Auto0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 8.4
279
#33
23.30.4
24.1→23.7
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Second
4504
#36
12.61.1
10.3→9.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 10.1
3844
#17
22.70.7
21.3→20.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
5002
#50
9.10.7
8.2→7.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0
red by 2.3
5744
#43
6.70.7
6.6→5.9
Auto0.4
Teleop6.3
End0.0