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Qual 612015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red60
146636.7
446223.2
36758.2
Blue9
384311.7
44214.4
45248.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7231020406080100120140160609

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#8
36.70.4
33.3→32.9
Auto0.6
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 22.3
442
#40
14.42.3
13.5→11.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Second
4462
#11
23.20.6
24.6→24.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 11.5
3843
#45
11.72.3
16.9→14.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
3675
#39
8.20.6
9.9→9.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0
red by 0.2
4524
#42
8.02.3
7.9→5.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0