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Red100
533836.4
398424.0
426528.2
Blue89
518610.1
395948.7
439613.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795905010015010089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.41.1
31.032.0
Auto0.3
Teleop36.1
End0.0
blue by 12.3
48.71.2
42.543.8
Auto0.3
Teleop48.4
End0.0
Second
4265
#10
28.21.1
23.624.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.5
End0.0
red by 14.9
4396
#30
13.31.9
10.712.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
3984
#13
24.01.7
24.025.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 14.0
5186
#35
10.11.9
11.413.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0