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Red2
569114.1
38566.5
239319.0
Blue78
33199.8
463017.3
45655.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47780100150200250278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#14
19.02.6
20.818.3
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 36.4
456
#3
55.40.1
52.752.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.6
End0.0
Second
5691
#31
14.14.0
20.016.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 3.1
4630
#24
17.30.2
15.715.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
3856
#47
6.54.0
12.48.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 3.3
3319
#41
9.80.2
7.37.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0