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Red29
319627.3
322712.3
32599.5
Blue21
57446.7
131117.1
474019.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473602060801001202921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.9
24.924.0
Auto0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 7.7
4740
#15
19.61.4
15.113.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
3227
#32
12.30.9
11.810.9
Auto0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 4.8
1311
#44
17.10.9
18.117.2
Auto0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
3259
#48
9.51.4
10.49.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
red by 2.8
5744
#43
6.71.4
5.94.5
Auto0.4
Teleop6.3
End0.0