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Red20
54716.1
320126.3
445214.8
Blue35
50029.1
426416.0
496513.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603002040801001201402035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#21
26.31.9
27.825.9
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 10.3
4264
#27
16.00.1
19.719.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Second
547
#18
16.12.9
16.513.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 3.0
4965
#49
13.10.1
8.88.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
4452
#29
14.81.9
13.511.7
Auto0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 5.7
5002
#50
9.10.1
7.57.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0