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Red64
382113.3
54716.1
349221.9
Blue82
426528.2
384422.7
44214.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415801001502006482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3492
#22
21.91.4
21.222.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 6.3
4265
#10
28.21.2
24.725.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.5
End0.0
Second
547
#18
16.11.4
13.514.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 6.6
3844
#17
22.71.8
21.523.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
3821
#37
13.31.4
10.411.8
Auto0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 1.0
442
#40
14.41.8
11.213.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.4
End0.0