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Red36
378312.0
100225.1
2818.5
Blue62
27923.3
201022.0
50029.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395301001502003662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#19
25.10.3
23.523.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 1.8
279
#33
23.30.5
23.824.2
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Second
3783
#34
12.00.3
12.612.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 10.0
2010
#20
22.00.5
21.622.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
281
#46
8.50.3
6.76.3
Auto0.1
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 0.5
5002
#50
9.10.5
7.47.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0