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Qual 772015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red124
445214.8
496513.1
314040.8
Blue112
463017.3
395948.7
319627.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48880100150200124112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#2
40.83.4
36.0→39.4
Auto0.2
Teleop40.6
End0.0
blue by 7.9
3959
#5
48.71.3
43.8→45.1
Auto0.3
Teleop48.4
End0.0
Second
4452
#29
14.83.4
11.7→15.1
Auto0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 12.5
3196
#9
27.31.3
25.4→26.8
Auto0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
4965
#49
13.13.4
8.3→11.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 4.2
4630
#24
17.31.9
15.9→17.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0