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Qual 812015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red44
384422.7
518610.1
463017.3
Blue44
446223.2
320126.3
27923.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457701001504444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
#17
22.70.5
23.2→22.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 3.5
3201
#21
26.31.5
25.1→23.5
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
4630
#24
17.30.5
17.8→17.3
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 6.0
279
#33
23.31.5
24.2→22.7
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
5186
#35
10.10.5
10.6→10.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 13.2
4462
#11
23.22.0
25.3→23.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.5
End0.0