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Red44
569114.1
426528.2
45248.0
Blue54
549231.6
378312.0
445214.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455901001502002504454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#10
28.20.2
25.925.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.5
End0.0
blue by 3.4
5492
#12
31.60.2
31.331.1
Auto0.9
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
5691
#31
14.10.3
14.514.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4452
#29
14.80.2
15.114.8
Auto0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
4524
#42
8.00.3
8.38.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 4.0
3783
#34
12.00.2
12.212.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0