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Semifinal pool 12015 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red111
426528.2
278346.7
100225.1
Blue150
261444.9
382468.7
349221.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84134050100150200250300111150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#6
46.70.3
44.9→45.1
Auto1.8
Teleop44.9
End0.0
blue by 22.0
3824
#1
68.70.4
67.2→67.6
Auto0.0
Teleop68.6
End0.0
Second
4265
#10
28.20.3
26.4→26.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.5
End0.0
blue by 16.7
2614
#4
44.90.4
43.4→43.8
Auto0.6
Teleop44.3
End0.0
Third
1002
#19
25.10.3
23.3→23.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 3.2
3492
#22
21.90.5
20.1→20.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0